I went through a brief exercise to annotate the stats for the players picked by the Boston Celtics in this years draft using the same basic stats visualization I debuted prior to the draft. The added annotations bring those prospects into focus, and makes it easier to follow them across the different categories.
The main upshot is that Jaylen Brown's numbers at Cal were bad. We that already, but the categories bring it home, most notably on the distribution measure. None of this means Brown is doomed as a prospect, certainly, and as a Celtic fan I will be rooting for him and not for my models to be correct. But it indicates that him finding stardom would buck the historical trends, and reasons for optimism have to come from some where other than his performance at Cal
- Guershon Yabusele, overall my projections like him much more than the consensus did, ranking the selection as less of a reach than the common reaction. Yabusele was rated close to average in nearly every category compared to other power forward prospects but is given a boost due to age and a higher competition level he faced against grown men in France.
- Ante Zicic was picked near his consensus status before the draft and close to where my model rated him. Unlike Yabusele, Zicic has a good deal more variance in his ratings, coming up higher in scoring and rebounding and lower in distributing the basketball.
- Demetrius Jackson fell quite a bit from his pre-draft ranking and was rated fairly well by my model. Again Jackson isn't a standout in any one area but displayed a solid overall game.
- Benjamin Bentil's one standout skill was scoring, but he below average witch everything else.
The scores are all standardized to average being zero with each category weighted to reflect the values in the model.