Originally posted on Hickory-High.com 05/16/2014
With the NBA draft combine starting yesterday in Chicago I thought I'd unveil some draft prospect visualizations I created to help illustrate some of the stats used in my P-AWS draft model. It is often difficult to explain what the model sees outside of statistics and correlations, especially when the model flouts the general consensus on a player, hopefully these are somewhat more clear.
The radar charts below show the standardized age, scoring, blocks and steals, and assists of some of the top prospects for this year's draft compared to the average of their fellow top 100 draft prospects according to Draft Express. Each measure is calculated using the formula in the model, so scoring is adjusted for efficiency, steals are weighted more than blocks, offensive rebounds are weighted more than defensive rebounds and age is adjusted less per year as players get older.
Below are the Centers and Forward/Centers (click on any chart to get a larger image).
Center and Forward/Center Draft Prospect Stats
Swiss big man Clint Capela, who is higher in my P-AWS model than most traditional draft boards is one of the most efficient scorers, better rebounders, and younger big men available in the draft. Jusuf Nurkic, who plays in the Adriatic league in Europe is a leader in rebounds, blocks and steals and in scoring. Possible number one pick Joel Embiid scores especially high in blocks and steals as well as rebounding.
In the next chart I put the Power Forwards along with some of the Combo/Tweener forwards (Tweeners simply being the players that end up not being able to play either postion).
Power Forward Draft Prospects
A couple of things stand out, such as Doug McDermott's high scoring, but very low blocks and steals, and Aaron Gordon's age and relatively high assist rate. Below are the Small Forwards, with a few combo forwards.
Small Forward Prospects
There are a few very young wing prospects, Andrew Wiggins, Damien Inglis and Zach Lavine. Wiggins and Inglis put up average stats overall last year, though that still makes them good prospects at their age. Kyle Anderson's freakish assist total for a player of his size also comes through.
The shooting guards are shown below.
Shooting Guard Draft Prospects
Jordan Adams is a favorite in my draft models, the chart shows why with the high blocks and steals, efficient scoring and still fairly young. Nik Stauskas, on the other hand looks more like a two dimensional prospect, with good scoring and assist numbers, but low everything else.
Finally, the point guards.
Point Guard Draft Prospects Tyler Ennis and Marcus Smart are the standouts, especially in blocks and steals as all of the prospects naturally excel in assists. Spencer Dwindle leads as a scoring point guard.